The authors of this paper link the C-ROADS climate model to a social model of behavioural change to examine how interactions between perceived risk and emissions behaviour influence projected climate change.
The coupled climate and social model resulted in a global temperature change ranging from 3.4 to 6.2 °C by 2100 compared with 4.9°C for the C-ROADS model alone.
Model components with the largest influence on temperature were:
- Responses to extreme events
- Interaction of perceived behavioural control with perceived social norms
- Behaviours leading to sustained emissions reductions such as insulating homes or purchasing hybrid cars.
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